Content №1 от 2021
Game Theory and Expert System Technology Applied in Assessing the Public Efficiency of Large-Scale Regional-Transport Projects
The article shows how game theory and expert system technologies make it possible, using specially developed tools, to compare the public efficiency of large-scale projects in a situation of radical (non-stochastic) uncertainty within J. Kornai’s system paradigm. The proposed approach combines the ideas of the well-known methods PATTERN, cost-effectiveness, and Saaty AHP with some original authors’ solutions. The resulting software products serve as a means of support in complex investment decision-making. To exemplify their application, we provide experimental estimates for the comparative public efficiency of the Transpolar and Lena-Kamchatka railways.
