Content №3 от 2004
Human potential and demographic processes in Siberia
The expected lifetime, state of health and death rate are crucial components of reproduction and formation of human potential. It is shown that since 1993 Siberia has suffered a fall of birth rate and entered a zone of negative natural increase, 30-40% below-replacement reproduction. A clear trend to decline of population size is traced by the authors over all regions of the Siberian Federal District. This demographic situation will lead to a quicker ageing of population and to low proportion of children in it. In the result, the average age in Siberia will rise 2.5 years in a decade. Its demographic potential will be unable to meet the labor requirements of the growing economy, and the additional demand will have to be met only by attracted foreign labor
